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Red130
288352.3
245022.7
313035.3
Blue80
423823.2
420728.4
674927.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113755010015020013080

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.31.9
51.853.7
Auto13.7
Teleop28.1
End9.9
red by 23.9
4207
#36
28.40.0
30.330.3
Auto7.9
Teleop14.4
End6.1
Second
3130
#18
35.33.0
29.032.0
Auto9.3
Teleop20.0
End5.9
red by 8.1
6749
#28
27.30.0
24.924.9
Auto7.8
Teleop13.1
End6.5
Third
2450
#30
22.73.0
20.523.5
Auto6.0
Teleop10.5
End6.3
blue by 0.5
4238
#20
23.20.0
20.020.0
Auto7.4
Teleop11.5
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsEarned6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
71%Activation oddsEarned46%Activation oddsEarned