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Red128
265427.5
400937.4
212945.2
Blue103
469319.0
245153.7
674927.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1099880120140160128103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2129
#11
45.21.8
41.943.7
Auto13.6
Teleop23.9
End7.8
blue by 8.5
53.70.6
51.852.4
Auto12.3
Teleop31.4
End9.9
Second
4009
#14
37.41.8
31.933.7
Auto10.5
Teleop21.0
End5.6
red by 10.1
6749
#28
27.30.9
24.925.8
Auto7.8
Teleop13.1
End6.5
Third
2654
#22
27.51.8
26.928.7
Auto8.7
Teleop12.0
End6.7
red by 8.5
4693
#35
19.00.6
17.017.6
Auto4.6
Teleop10.5
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsEarned26%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
56%Activation oddsEarned80%Activation oddsMissed