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Red99
214330.4
313035.3
546433.6
Blue92
400937.4
674927.3
670915.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1027840601201401609992

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3130
#18
35.30.5
33.433.8
Auto9.3
Teleop20.0
End5.9
blue by 2.0
4009
#14
37.41.0
35.036.0
Auto10.5
Teleop21.0
End5.6
Second
5464
#10
33.60.4
30.731.1
Auto9.3
Teleop19.9
End4.3
red by 6.3
6749
#28
27.31.1
26.828.0
Auto7.8
Teleop13.1
End6.5
Third
2143
#13
30.40.5
28.829.3
Auto7.4
Teleop15.6
End7.5
red by 14.7
6709
#38
15.71.1
14.715.8
Auto4.9
Teleop7.9
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
49%Sustainability oddsEarned21%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
64%Activation oddsMissed37%Activation oddsMissed