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Red62
616620.6
469319.0
388350.8
Blue142
702149.3
87650.5
310033.0
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9314140608012016018062142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.82.1
52.550.4
Auto10.6
Teleop32.0
End7.4
red by 0.3
876
#4
50.51.1
47.348.3
Auto11.6
Teleop30.7
End8.0
Second
6166
#32
20.62.1
21.719.6
Auto2.1
Teleop14.5
End4.1
blue by 28.7
49.31.1
47.948.9
Auto13.6
Teleop28.1
End7.0
Third
4693
#35
19.02.1
19.016.9
Auto4.6
Teleop10.5
End4.1
blue by 14.0
33.01.1
32.033.1
Auto11.9
Teleop15.0
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
40%Sustainability oddsMissed57%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
29%Activation oddsMissed78%Activation oddsEarned