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Red112
702845.8
472853.3
375119.9
Blue100
212945.2
253040.8
384826.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11685204060100140160180112100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.30.6
39.740.2
Auto13.1
Teleop31.0
End8.9
red by 8.1
2129
#11
45.21.3
30.531.8
Auto13.6
Teleop23.9
End7.8
Second
7028
#16
45.80.5
46.747.2
Auto15.4
Teleop23.5
End6.7
red by 5.1
2530
#21
40.81.3
30.131.4
Auto11.4
Teleop22.4
End6.7
Third
3751
#24
19.90.8
18.719.5
Auto4.4
Teleop8.7
End7.0
blue by 6.2
3848
#34
26.11.8
23.525.3
Auto7.5
Teleop16.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsEarned6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
84%Activation oddsEarned66%Activation oddsMissed