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Red95
375119.9
288352.3
304227.8
Blue137
214330.4
702845.8
245153.7
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104140608012016018020095137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.30.5
53.352.8
Auto13.7
Teleop28.1
End9.9
blue by 1.4
53.70.7
53.153.8
Auto12.3
Teleop31.4
End9.9
Second
3042
#26
27.80.5
28.327.8
Auto7.8
Teleop11.7
End8.3
blue by 18.0
7028
#16
45.80.7
44.645.3
Auto15.4
Teleop23.5
End6.7
Third
3751
#24
19.90.5
20.419.9
Auto4.4
Teleop8.7
End7.0
blue by 10.5
2143
#13
30.40.7
29.329.9
Auto7.4
Teleop15.6
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
34%Sustainability oddsMissed75%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
77%Activation oddsEarned91%Activation oddsEarned