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Red104
703821.7
546433.6
400937.4
Blue127
472853.3
422920.6
384826.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92104406080120140160104127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4009
#14
37.41.1
36.037.1
Auto10.5
Teleop21.0
End5.6
blue by 15.9
53.31.4
52.053.4
Auto13.1
Teleop31.0
End8.9
Second
5464
#10
33.61.1
31.132.2
Auto9.3
Teleop19.9
End4.3
red by 7.5
3848
#34
26.11.4
24.726.1
Auto7.5
Teleop16.0
End2.6
Third
7038
#39
21.71.1
20.621.7
Auto5.4
Teleop10.7
End5.6
red by 1.0
4229
#31
20.61.4
19.220.6
Auto4.9
Teleop12.0
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
22%Sustainability oddsEarned63%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
49%Activation oddsMissed28%Activation oddsEarned