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Red136
223930.6
388350.8
702149.3
Blue120
546433.6
400937.4
253040.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13711350100150200136120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.80.1
50.450.3
Auto10.6
Teleop32.0
End7.4
red by 10.0
2530
#21
40.80.1
40.640.8
Auto11.4
Teleop22.4
End6.7
Second
49.30.1
48.948.8
Auto13.6
Teleop28.1
End7.0
red by 11.9
4009
#14
37.40.1
37.237.4
Auto10.5
Teleop21.0
End5.6
Third
2239
#25
30.60.1
30.230.1
Auto7.8
Teleop15.5
End7.1
blue by 3.0
5464
#10
33.60.1
33.433.6
Auto9.3
Teleop19.9
End4.3