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Red170
725830.4
591359.8
205257.0
Blue116
308237.0
419838.3
543441.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162118100150200250170116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.80.2
59.859.9
Auto16.9
Teleop33.9
End8.9
red by 18.5
5434
#11
41.30.0
41.341.3
Auto11.5
Teleop20.7
End9.0
Second
57.00.2
56.957.1
Auto15.1
Teleop32.0
End9.8
red by 18.7
4198
#15
38.30.0
38.238.1
Auto7.4
Teleop22.7
End8.2
Third
7258
#23
30.40.2
30.330.6
Auto9.2
Teleop15.6
End5.6
blue by 6.6
3082
#16
37.00.0
36.936.8
Auto9.2
Teleop18.6
End9.2