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Red120
250243.6
284643.5
466423.8
Blue79
220722.0
308237.0
245025.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1027105015020012079

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.62.0
38.240.3
Auto12.7
Teleop24.0
End6.9
red by 6.6
3082
#16
37.00.1
30.830.7
Auto9.2
Teleop18.6
End9.2
Second
43.51.9
38.140.0
Auto15.3
Teleop20.7
End7.6
red by 18.3
2450
#37
25.20.1
22.722.6
Auto7.8
Teleop12.0
End5.5
Third
4664
#10
23.82.5
15.718.3
Auto8.2
Teleop9.6
End6.0
red by 1.8
2207
#34
22.00.2
17.016.8
Auto5.7
Teleop11.5
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsEarned7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
67%Activation oddsEarned75%Activation oddsMissed