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Red80
361021.4
725830.4
785028.0
Blue48
453634.9
285522.5
22256.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51710204060801001201408048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7258
#23
30.42.7
18.421.1
Auto9.2
Teleop15.6
End5.6
blue by 4.5
4536
#48
34.91.2
31.530.3
Auto8.4
Teleop19.3
End7.3
Second
28.02.7
16.218.9
Auto8.7
Teleop10.4
End8.9
red by 5.5
2855
#30
22.51.8
18.616.8
Auto7.4
Teleop9.0
End6.2
Third
3610
#40
21.42.7
16.118.8
Auto5.9
Teleop9.0
End6.6
red by 14.5
2225
#61
6.91.8
14.112.3
Auto0.6
Teleop2.6
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
30%Activation oddsEarned32%Activation oddsMissed