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Red54
340717.6
723521.2
46329.7
Blue86
345420.0
422514.1
591359.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions519501505486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7235
#47
21.20.0
19.319.3
Auto7.0
Teleop7.9
End6.3
blue by 38.6
59.80.2
52.953.1
Auto16.9
Teleop33.9
End8.9
Second
3407
#41
17.60.0
18.218.3
Auto2.9
Teleop9.0
End5.8
blue by 2.3
3454
#38
20.00.2
19.219.4
Auto2.3
Teleop10.8
End6.9
Third
4632
#53
9.70.0
16.316.3
Auto4.5
Teleop3.1
End2.1
blue by 4.5
4225
#51
14.10.2
11.912.1
Auto3.8
Teleop4.4
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed19%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
28%Activation oddsEarned67%Activation oddsEarned