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Red114
205257.0
466423.8
670922.0
Blue36
701922.3
320213.6
301818.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9851015011436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.01.5
53.354.8
Auto15.1
Teleop32.0
End9.8
red by 34.7
7019
#29
22.32.0
18.716.8
Auto5.2
Teleop11.6
End5.5
Second
4664
#10
23.82.0
18.320.3
Auto8.2
Teleop9.6
End6.0
red by 5.1
3018
#58
18.82.0
16.714.8
Auto3.2
Teleop8.8
End6.7
Third
6709
#18
22.01.2
14.215.4
Auto6.9
Teleop11.5
End3.7
red by 8.5
3202
#45
13.62.0
18.116.2
Auto3.8
Teleop7.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
16%Sustainability oddsEarned6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
50%Activation oddsEarned38%Activation oddsMissed