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Red108
302639.7
300728.9
421528.6
Blue127
251817.9
785028.0
543441.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81642040100120108127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3026
#20
39.72.5
32.134.6
Auto10.8
Teleop21.8
End7.1
blue by 1.6
5434
#11
41.35.0
24.929.9
Auto11.5
Teleop20.7
End9.0
Second
3007
#24
28.93.8
22.926.7
Auto8.9
Teleop14.3
End5.7
red by 0.9
28.05.0
18.923.8
Auto8.7
Teleop10.4
End8.9
Third
4215
#35
28.63.8
18.922.7
Auto8.8
Teleop13.1
End6.8
red by 10.7
2518
#26
17.95.0
18.423.4
Auto5.4
Teleop8.1
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
73%Activation oddsEarned47%Activation oddsEarned