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Red90
302639.7
527818.9
823424.6
Blue83
363035.3
825518.0
287915.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions756120401001201409083

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3026
#20
39.71.4
34.636.0
Auto10.8
Teleop21.8
End7.1
red by 4.5
3630
#12
35.31.6
24.426.0
Auto8.4
Teleop19.1
End7.8
Second
8234
#19
24.62.4
17.920.2
Auto5.3
Teleop12.1
End7.2
red by 6.6
8255
#36
18.01.6
18.019.7
Auto6.3
Teleop6.8
End4.9
Third
5278
#56
18.92.4
16.118.5
Auto5.1
Teleop9.1
End4.7
red by 3.8
2879
#44
15.12.7
16.319.0
Auto2.7
Teleop7.2
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
73%Activation oddsEarned47%Activation oddsMissed