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Red75
320632.9
421528.6
387120.4
Blue99
725830.4
454925.0
466423.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7466204060801001207599

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3206
#21
32.90.7
25.426.1
Auto10.9
Teleop13.5
End8.5
red by 2.5
7258
#23
30.42.7
21.123.8
Auto9.2
Teleop15.6
End5.6
Second
4215
#35
28.60.7
22.723.4
Auto8.8
Teleop13.1
End6.8
red by 3.6
4549
#17
25.02.7
21.324.0
Auto10.2
Teleop8.4
End6.5
Third
3871
#32
20.40.7
20.521.2
Auto6.5
Teleop8.3
End5.5
blue by 3.4
4664
#10
23.82.7
20.323.0
Auto8.2
Teleop9.6
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
60%Activation oddsEarned61%Activation oddsEarned