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Red120
421528.6
363035.3
247047.2
Blue124
218131.0
284643.5
670922.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9587406080120140120124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2470
#14
47.22.1
39.141.2
Auto13.4
Teleop25.8
End8.0
red by 3.7
43.51.9
41.943.9
Auto15.3
Teleop20.7
End7.6
Second
3630
#12
35.32.1
26.028.1
Auto8.4
Teleop19.1
End7.8
red by 4.3
31.03.2
24.027.2
Auto8.1
Teleop15.6
End7.3
Third
4215
#35DQ
28.63.5
23.426.9
Auto8.8
Teleop13.1
End6.8
red by 6.6
6709
#18
22.01.9
17.018.9
Auto6.9
Teleop11.5
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsEarned7%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
69%Activation oddsMissed38%Activation oddsEarned