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Red79
701922.3
387120.4
250243.6
Blue93
250017.2
250936.9
249132.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90896070801001101207993

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.60.2
42.242.0
Auto12.7
Teleop24.0
End6.9
red by 6.7
2509
#22
36.90.5
34.535.0
Auto13.6
Teleop17.0
End6.3
Second
7019
#29
22.30.3
18.718.4
Auto5.2
Teleop11.6
End5.5
blue by 10.5
2491
#28
32.80.5
34.034.5
Auto6.8
Teleop18.6
End7.5
Third
3871
#32
20.40.3
21.220.9
Auto6.5
Teleop8.3
End5.5
red by 3.1
2500
#43
17.20.9
16.717.6
Auto4.3
Teleop9.2
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
74%Activation oddsMissed42%Activation oddsEarned