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Red100
181641.4
300728.9
725830.4
Blue99
249816.9
245025.2
205257.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1009870809011012013014010099

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.40.5
37.137.6
Auto13.7
Teleop19.4
End8.3
blue by 15.6
57.00.4
53.754.1
Auto15.1
Teleop32.0
End9.8
Second
7258
#23
30.40.8
27.528.3
Auto9.2
Teleop15.6
End5.6
red by 5.2
2450
#37
25.20.4
23.223.6
Auto7.8
Teleop12.0
End5.5
Third
3007
#24
28.90.8
28.128.9
Auto8.9
Teleop14.3
End5.7
red by 12.0
2498
#49
16.90.6
16.417.0
Auto6.3
Teleop8.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsEarned20%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
79%Activation oddsMissed71%Activation oddsEarned