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Red75
287915.1
361021.4
284643.5
Blue111
250243.6
543441.3
300728.9
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7912020406010014016018075111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.50.6
43.943.3
Auto15.3
Teleop20.7
End7.6
blue by 0.1
43.60.2
41.641.8
Auto12.7
Teleop24.0
End6.9
Second
3610
#40
21.41.1
21.020.0
Auto5.9
Teleop9.0
End6.6
blue by 19.9
5434
#11
41.30.4
36.436.8
Auto11.5
Teleop20.7
End9.0
Third
2879
#44
15.11.1
14.613.6
Auto2.7
Teleop7.2
End5.2
blue by 13.8
3007
#24
28.90.4
30.030.4
Auto8.9
Teleop14.3
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsMissed17%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
63%Activation oddsEarned46%Activation oddsEarned