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Red90
527818.9
181641.4
251510.5
Blue115
251817.9
284643.5
320632.9
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6696020408012014016090115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.40.6
38.939.5
Auto13.7
Teleop19.4
End8.3
blue by 2.1
43.51.6
43.344.9
Auto15.3
Teleop20.7
End7.6
Second
5278
#56
18.91.0
17.118.0
Auto5.1
Teleop9.1
End4.7
blue by 14.0
3206
#21
32.92.5
27.830.3
Auto10.9
Teleop13.5
End8.5
Third
2515
#59
10.51.0
9.810.8
Auto0.9
Teleop3.1
End6.5
blue by 7.3
2518
#26
17.92.5
15.017.5
Auto5.4
Teleop8.1
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
52%Activation oddsEarned74%Activation oddsEarned