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Red118
282340.6
363035.3
245025.2
Blue138
249132.8
706838.3
250243.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10512550150200118138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.60.0
40.540.6
Auto10.6
Teleop23.2
End6.8
blue by 3.0
43.60.5
43.744.2
Auto12.7
Teleop24.0
End6.9
Second
3630
#12
35.30.0
35.235.3
Auto8.4
Teleop19.1
End7.8
blue by 3.1
38.30.5
38.439.0
Auto11.5
Teleop18.3
End8.6
Third
2450
#37
25.20.0
25.225.2
Auto7.8
Teleop12.0
End5.5
blue by 7.6
2491
#28
32.80.5
32.933.4
Auto6.8
Teleop18.6
End7.5