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Red122
282340.6
363035.3
245025.2
Blue121
453634.9
284643.5
218131.0
30%Model gave it70%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101118406080140160180122121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.60.4
39.339.7
Auto10.6
Teleop23.2
End6.8
blue by 2.9
43.50.2
43.343.5
Auto15.3
Teleop20.7
End7.6
Second
3630
#12
35.30.4
34.034.4
Auto8.4
Teleop19.1
End7.8
red by 0.3
4536
#48
34.90.2
34.734.9
Auto8.4
Teleop19.3
End7.3
Third
2450
#37
25.20.4
23.924.4
Auto7.8
Teleop12.0
End5.5
blue by 5.8
31.00.2
30.730.9
Auto8.1
Teleop15.6
End7.3