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Red126
254923.6
181641.4
247047.2
Blue112
453634.9
284643.5
218131.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11911690100110130140126112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2470
#14
47.20.3
46.847.2
Auto13.4
Teleop25.8
End8.0
red by 3.7
43.50.1
43.543.5
Auto15.3
Teleop20.7
End7.6
Second
41.40.3
41.041.4
Auto13.7
Teleop19.4
End8.3
red by 6.5
4536
#48
34.90.1
34.934.9
Auto8.4
Teleop19.3
End7.3
Third
2549
#42
23.60.4
23.123.5
Auto6.5
Teleop12.3
End4.7
blue by 7.4
31.00.1
30.931.0
Auto8.1
Teleop15.6
End7.3