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Red125
247049.9
823422.7
363043.4
Blue59
313024.8
785023.0
253111.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13353010015020012559

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.90.8
48.649.4
Auto14.8
Teleop26.6
End7.8
red by 25.1
3130
#33
24.80.0
24.824.8
Auto7.2
Teleop14.3
End3.3
Second
43.40.8
42.643.4
Auto11.3
Teleop22.0
End10.1
red by 20.3
7850
#11
23.00.0
23.123.0
Auto7.6
Teleop7.8
End7.8
Third
8234
#18
22.70.8
21.822.6
Auto4.6
Teleop12.0
End6.3
red by 11.3
2531
#34
11.40.0
11.511.4
Auto2.5
Teleop3.7
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
58%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned59%Activation oddsMissed