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Red73
284635.9
419833.1
340711.1
Blue85
310023.4
363043.4
999915.5
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97790501502002503003504007385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.91.0
36.936.0
Auto12.1
Teleop16.9
End6.6
blue by 7.5
43.40.5
47.446.9
Auto11.3
Teleop22.0
End10.1
Second
33.11.0
34.933.9
Auto5.6
Teleop19.7
End8.0
red by 9.7
3100
#21
23.40.5
30.930.4
Auto9.1
Teleop8.1
End6.4
Third
3407
#36
11.11.2
15.614.5
Auto1.2
Teleop4.6
End5.4
blue by 4.4
15.50.9
14.813.9
Auto4.5
Teleop4.6
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
17%Sustainability oddsMissed12%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
45%Activation oddsMissed74%Activation oddsEarned