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Red72
527511.3
38719.6
247049.9
Blue114
453629.9
591357.8
247219.6
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7612405010015020025072114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.90.7
51.650.9
Auto14.8
Teleop26.6
End7.8
blue by 7.9
57.80.2
54.754.9
Auto14.1
Teleop36.4
End5.7
Second
5275
#26
11.30.8
10.19.3
Auto2.9
Teleop5.4
End3.0
blue by 18.6
29.90.2
34.534.7
Auto7.3
Teleop14.7
End7.7
Third
3871
#31
9.60.9
15.814.9
Auto4.1
Teleop1.3
End4.3
blue by 10.1
2472
#20
19.60.2
21.221.5
Auto6.3
Teleop8.1
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
16%Sustainability oddsMissed29%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
44%Activation oddsMissed50%Activation oddsEarned