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Red103
318449.9
250233.9
591357.8
Blue147
419833.1
181644.1
247049.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15013250100200103147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.80.8
58.858.0
Auto14.1
Teleop36.4
End5.7
red by 7.9
49.90.5
49.449.8
Auto14.8
Teleop26.6
End7.8
Second
49.90.8
50.850.0
Auto13.7
Teleop25.6
End7.4
red by 5.8
1816
#13
44.10.5
43.644.0
Auto13.3
Teleop23.9
End6.8
Third
2502
#12
33.90.8
35.034.2
Auto10.7
Teleop15.6
End7.5
red by 0.8
33.10.5
32.633.0
Auto5.6
Teleop19.7
End8.0