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Red126
247049.9
181644.1
419833.1
Blue135
205250.5
453629.9
298737.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13911750100150126135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.90.0
49.849.8
Auto14.8
Teleop26.6
End7.8
blue by 0.6
50.50.5
49.149.6
Auto15.8
Teleop24.8
End9.4
Second
1816
#13
44.10.0
44.044.0
Auto13.3
Teleop23.9
End6.8
red by 6.5
2987
#29
37.60.5
36.236.7
Auto9.8
Teleop21.3
End5.9
Third
33.10.0
33.033.0
Auto5.6
Teleop19.7
End8.0
red by 3.2
29.90.5
28.629.1
Auto7.3
Teleop14.7
End7.7