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Red115
702142.1
642149.8
999211.9
Blue64
802416.1
616629.6
99917.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12148010015020025011564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.80.3
49.549.8
Auto14.4
Teleop26.8
End8.6
red by 20.2
29.60.2
29.329.6
Auto6.9
Teleop14.8
End7.8
Second
42.10.3
41.842.1
Auto9.3
Teleop24.2
End7.8
red by 26.0
16.10.2
15.916.1
Auto2.0
Teleop5.3
End8.7
Third
9992
#11
11.90.3
11.611.9
Auto2.3
Teleop6.0
End3.8
red by 4.0
9991
#12
7.90.2
7.77.9
Auto2.7
Teleop4.6
End0.8