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Red57
297719.5
642149.8
99917.9
Blue8
999413.6
802416.1
702142.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10910920406080100120140578

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.81.9
44.142.1
Auto14.4
Teleop26.8
End8.6
red by 7.7
42.15.9
59.353.4
Auto9.3
Teleop24.2
End7.8
Second
19.52.3
25.222.9
Auto4.7
Teleop8.0
End6.7
red by 3.4
16.15.9
20.214.3
Auto2.0
Teleop5.3
End8.7
Third
9991
#12
7.93.2
16.513.3
Auto2.7
Teleop4.6
End0.8
blue by 5.7
13.69.8
16.56.7
Auto2.9
Teleop6.4
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
17%Sustainability oddsMissed21%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
81%Activation oddsMissed86%Activation oddsMissed