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Qual 102023 Rumble on the River
Red50
99917.9
616629.6
297719.5
Blue77
99934.4
642149.8
999211.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions657601001502002503003505077

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6166
#2
29.60.2
25.2→25.0
Auto6.9
Teleop14.8
End7.8
blue by 20.2
6421
#1
49.80.6
41.0→41.6
Auto14.4
Teleop26.8
End8.6
Second
2977
#6
19.50.2
20.3→20.1
Auto4.7
Teleop8.0
End6.7
red by 7.6
9992
#11
11.91.0
13.2→14.2
Auto2.3
Teleop6.0
End3.8
Third
9991
#12
7.90.3
6.9→6.6
Auto2.7
Teleop4.6
End0.8
red by 3.5
9993
#8
4.41.0
9.2→10.1
Auto2.7
Teleop1.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed11%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
44%Activation oddsMissed68%Activation oddsMissed