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Red100
883621.4
318460.2
222031.9
Blue167
226450.3
543445.8
460763.3
16%Model gave it84%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124161100150200250100167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3184
#12
60.21.4
59.658.2
Auto14.2
Teleop36.8
End6.0
blue by 3.2
63.30.6
60.361.0
Auto13.9
Teleop39.1
End9.0
Second
2220
#34
31.91.4
38.136.7
Auto11.7
Teleop14.6
End6.2
blue by 18.4
2264
#16
50.30.6
49.149.8
Auto11.8
Teleop30.3
End7.5
Third
8836
#36
21.41.8
22.921.1
Auto7.5
Teleop7.7
End6.6
blue by 24.4
5434
#13
45.80.6
41.241.9
Auto13.0
Teleop25.6
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
55%Sustainability oddsMissed56%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
54%Activation oddsEarned88%Activation oddsEarned