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Qual 252023 Minnesota State High School League Championship
Red122
462437.1
563843.9
298750.5
Blue142
725741.5
284752.9
247051.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13914580100120160180122142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2987
#24
50.51.6
50.9→49.3
Auto11.1
Teleop31.4
End7.1
blue by 2.4
2847
#4
52.90.5
48.0→48.5
Auto14.9
Teleop28.6
End8.4
Second
5638
#8
43.91.6
42.7→41.1
Auto11.3
Teleop24.4
End7.7
blue by 7.4
2470
#5
51.30.5
50.5→51.0
Auto14.3
Teleop28.0
End8.0
Third
4624
#29
37.11.6
37.6→36.0
Auto8.1
Teleop21.7
End7.7
blue by 4.4
7257
#27
41.50.5
39.6→40.0
Auto10.6
Teleop24.1
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
59%Sustainability oddsEarned63%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
93%Activation oddsMissed88%Activation oddsEarned