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Red118
466341.1
706840.9
226450.3
Blue107
614638.3
453634.2
702844.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1401236080100160180118107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2264
#16
50.30.7
50.950.2
Auto11.8
Teleop30.3
End7.5
red by 5.9
7028
#32
44.40.7
44.043.3
Auto14.6
Teleop22.6
End7.2
Second
4663
#22
41.10.7
38.437.7
Auto10.6
Teleop23.9
End6.2
red by 2.9
6146
#20
38.30.7
39.739.0
Auto9.5
Teleop20.3
End8.1
Third
40.90.7
39.638.9
Auto11.2
Teleop22.4
End7.3
red by 6.7
4536
#33
34.20.7
34.033.3
Auto7.7
Teleop18.7
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
30%Sustainability oddsMissed24%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
93%Activation oddsMissed63%Activation oddsEarned