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Red150
543445.8
181648.8
329729.3
Blue112
517238.6
308232.0
392639.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1231116080100140160180150112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1816
#23
48.80.9
45.146.0
Auto15.2
Teleop27.1
End6.2
red by 9.7
3926
#18
39.10.4
38.838.4
Auto12.7
Teleop19.3
End7.4
Second
5434
#13
45.80.9
44.044.9
Auto13.0
Teleop25.6
End6.7
red by 7.2
5172
#15
38.60.4
35.535.1
Auto4.9
Teleop24.7
End9.6
Third
3297
#28
29.30.9
25.126.0
Auto5.1
Teleop18.8
End5.9
blue by 2.6
3082
#26
32.00.4
31.731.3
Auto4.8
Teleop19.2
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
31%Sustainability oddsMissed34%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
44%Activation oddsEarned88%Activation oddsEarned