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Red114
222031.9
460763.3
313429.1
Blue164
205259.8
466341.1
517238.6
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1241406080100160180114164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.30.3
62.462.1
Auto13.9
Teleop39.1
End9.0
red by 3.5
59.82.0
56.758.7
Auto15.4
Teleop32.9
End11.2
Second
2220
#34
31.90.3
29.429.1
Auto11.7
Teleop14.6
End6.2
blue by 9.2
4663
#22
41.12.0
37.739.6
Auto10.6
Teleop23.9
End6.2
Third
3134
#31
29.10.3
27.327.0
Auto11.6
Teleop12.0
End5.7
blue by 9.4
5172
#15
38.62.0
35.137.1
Auto4.9
Teleop24.7
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
46%Sustainability oddsMissed53%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
86%Activation oddsEarned86%Activation oddsEarned