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Red137
308232.0
288352.9
329729.3
Blue118
453634.2
392639.1
226450.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11513250100150200137118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2883
#17
52.91.5
52.654.1
Auto14.1
Teleop28.4
End8.5
red by 2.5
2264
#16
50.30.3
50.249.9
Auto11.8
Teleop30.3
End7.5
Second
3082
#26
32.01.5
31.332.8
Auto4.8
Teleop19.2
End7.8
blue by 7.1
3926
#18
39.10.3
38.438.2
Auto12.7
Teleop19.3
End7.4
Third
3297
#28
29.31.5
26.027.5
Auto5.1
Teleop18.8
End5.9
blue by 4.9
4536
#33
34.20.3
33.333.0
Auto7.7
Teleop18.7
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsEarned19%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
80%Activation oddsEarned80%Activation oddsEarned