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Red136
591354.3
216949.8
725741.5
Blue139
460763.3
517238.6
250936.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions149141050100200250300350136139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.30.2
53.253.0
Auto13.6
Teleop32.3
End6.1
blue by 9.0
63.30.3
62.162.4
Auto13.9
Teleop39.1
End9.0
Second
2169
#11
49.80.2
49.349.1
Auto14.3
Teleop28.8
End6.3
red by 11.3
5172
#15
38.60.3
37.137.4
Auto4.9
Teleop24.7
End9.6
Third
7257
#27
41.50.2
40.340.1
Auto10.6
Teleop24.1
End6.5
red by 5.5
2509
#14
36.00.3
35.035.3
Auto13.5
Teleop16.8
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
86%Sustainability oddsEarned67%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
81%Activation oddsMissed93%Activation oddsEarned