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Red17
517620.7
93124.0
99985.5
Blue88
999130.3
639137.5
998814.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions735901001502002503001788

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
931
#10
24.02.8
27.324.5
Auto6.4
Teleop11.1
End6.5
blue by 13.5
6391
#14
37.52.2
34.136.3
Auto13.8
Teleop19.1
End4.4
Second
20.72.8
24.021.2
Auto7.4
Teleop5.4
End7.7
blue by 9.6
30.33.6
12.816.5
Auto12.3
Teleop13.7
End4.6
Third
9998
#18
5.54.7
8.23.5
Auto0.2
Teleop0.4
End5.2
blue by 9.0
9988
#21
14.63.6
8.211.9
Auto4.3
Teleop6.2
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
72%Activation oddsMissed21%Activation oddsMissed