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Red85
450029.0
642463.4
807711.0
Blue47
33975.4
425635.7
432945.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1111090501502008547

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.41.6
60.559.0
Auto16.1
Teleop36.4
End9.3
red by 18.2
4329
#13
45.13.7
47.844.2
Auto13.4
Teleop21.7
End10.3
Second
4500
#11
29.01.6
30.128.6
Auto8.3
Teleop14.6
End6.2
blue by 6.8
4256
#12
35.73.7
44.641.0
Auto9.2
Teleop20.4
End6.0
Third
11.01.7
12.811.0
Auto4.1
Teleop1.5
End5.4
red by 5.6
3397
#20
5.43.7
9.45.7
Auto0.8
Teleop1.0
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
57%Sustainability oddsMissed40%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
85%Activation oddsEarned69%Activation oddsMissed