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Red124
99999.5
642463.4
999627.6
Blue92
674424.7
170656.9
93124.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1031036070809011012013014012492

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.40.7
61.562.2
Auto16.1
Teleop36.4
End9.3
red by 6.5
56.90.3
57.256.9
Auto14.5
Teleop35.3
End6.7
Second
27.61.2
24.525.7
Auto7.7
Teleop15.1
End5.2
red by 2.9
6744
#23
24.70.3
25.024.7
Auto6.3
Teleop13.7
End4.7
Third
9999
#24
9.51.2
6.47.6
Auto1.4
Teleop5.4
End3.2
blue by 14.5
931
#10
24.00.3
24.324.0
Auto6.4
Teleop11.1
End6.5