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Red106
99999.5
642463.4
999627.6
Blue88
674424.7
170656.9
93124.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7612002004006008001,0001,20010688

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.40.4
60.160.5
Auto16.1
Teleop36.4
End9.3
red by 6.5
56.90.4
57.757.3
Auto14.5
Teleop35.3
End6.7
Second
27.60.7
22.122.8
Auto7.7
Teleop15.1
End5.2
red by 2.9
6744
#23
24.70.4
25.625.1
Auto6.3
Teleop13.7
End4.7
Third
9999
#24
9.50.7
4.04.7
Auto1.4
Teleop5.4
End3.2
blue by 14.5
931
#10
24.00.4
24.924.4
Auto6.4
Teleop11.1
End6.5