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Red97
93714.2
171040.1
198765.6
Blue121
176931.4
591824.4
425644.2
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126765010015020097121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.62.5
60.157.6
Auto17.4
Teleop40.1
End8.1
red by 21.4
44.21.9
38.240.1
Auto11.2
Teleop25.3
End7.7
Second
40.12.5
40.538.0
Auto9.2
Teleop24.4
End6.4
red by 8.6
1769
#15
31.41.9
24.126.0
Auto11.1
Teleop13.6
End6.8
Third
937
#28
14.24.1
11.77.5
Auto5.0
Teleop7.1
End2.1
blue by 10.2
5918
#18
24.41.9
15.317.2
Auto6.1
Teleop12.0
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
52%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
81%Activation oddsEarned52%Activation oddsEarned