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Red45
509826.9
93714.2
200113.9
Blue128
171040.1
176931.4
580146.5
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49116010015020045128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5098
#25
26.91.3
29.328.0
Auto9.4
Teleop12.3
End5.3
blue by 19.7
46.51.8
36.538.4
Auto9.6
Teleop27.9
End9.0
Second
937
#28
14.22.2
7.55.4
Auto5.0
Teleop7.1
End2.1
blue by 25.9
40.11.8
38.039.8
Auto9.2
Teleop24.4
End6.4
Third
2001
#32
13.92.2
17.715.6
Auto3.8
Teleop5.1
End5.1
blue by 17.5
1769
#15
31.41.8
26.027.8
Auto11.1
Teleop13.6
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
58%Activation oddsMissed65%Activation oddsEarned