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Red115
110835.0
317217.0
181033.9
Blue95
176324.1
198425.6
425644.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7776506070809010011011595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1108
#16
35.01.8
29.130.8
Auto5.5
Teleop24.3
End5.2
blue by 9.3
44.21.5
40.141.6
Auto11.2
Teleop25.3
End7.7
Second
1810
#14
33.91.8
28.630.3
Auto10.5
Teleop15.1
End8.3
red by 8.3
1984
#31DQ
25.62.5
17.720.2
Auto7.9
Teleop11.0
End6.7
Third
3172
#35
17.02.9
13.916.8
Auto5.6
Teleop8.3
End3.1
blue by 7.1
1763
#21
24.11.5
14.415.9
Auto6.8
Teleop11.0
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
68%Activation oddsEarned61%Activation oddsEarned