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Red122
580932.2
425644.2
198233.1
Blue53
234522.4
512630.4
509826.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10587608010012014016012253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.21.7
41.843.4
Auto11.2
Teleop25.3
End7.7
red by 13.9
5126
#17
30.42.4
30.828.4
Auto10.2
Teleop16.1
End4.1
Second
33.11.7
27.829.5
Auto11.8
Teleop14.8
End6.5
red by 6.2
5098
#25
26.92.4
29.627.2
Auto9.4
Teleop12.3
End5.3
Third
5809
#20
32.21.7
27.128.8
Auto5.1
Teleop21.1
End6.0
red by 9.8
2345
#19
22.44.0
23.919.9
Auto6.5
Teleop10.9
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
33%Sustainability oddsEarned16%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
68%Activation oddsEarned67%Activation oddsMissed