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Red122
110835.0
421347.1
176931.4
Blue124
198765.6
235925.3
931627.2
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10611950150200122124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.11.4
41.342.7
Auto14.3
Teleop22.6
End10.2
blue by 18.5
65.60.9
61.262.1
Auto17.4
Teleop40.1
End8.1
Second
1108
#16
35.01.4
33.034.3
Auto5.5
Teleop24.3
End5.2
red by 7.7
9316
#11
27.21.6
26.327.8
Auto6.0
Teleop12.4
End8.9
Third
1769
#15
31.41.4
27.228.6
Auto11.1
Teleop13.6
End6.8
red by 6.2
2359
#12
25.30.9
22.523.4
Auto7.4
Teleop9.0
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
16%Sustainability oddsEarned65%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned86%Activation oddsEarned