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Red117
588940.7
526815.4
756341.0
Blue96
182536.0
495922.1
176931.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions979870809011012013011796

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.01.7
37.739.4
Auto11.4
Teleop21.4
End8.2
red by 5.0
1825
#10
36.00.4
37.838.3
Auto11.4
Teleop17.4
End7.2
Second
40.71.7
39.040.7
Auto10.0
Teleop25.1
End5.6
red by 9.3
1769
#15
31.40.3
29.329.6
Auto11.1
Teleop13.6
End6.8
Third
5268
#36
15.41.7
14.816.5
Auto3.5
Teleop8.3
End3.6
blue by 6.7
4959
#29
22.10.3
23.824.2
Auto6.0
Teleop10.0
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsEarned15%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
47%Activation oddsEarned74%Activation oddsEarned