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Red59
198425.6
235925.3
317217.0
Blue119
198765.6
177522.1
245729.1
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6212905010015020059119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1984
#31
25.60.6
24.824.2
Auto7.9
Teleop11.0
End6.7
blue by 40.0
65.60.4
65.465.8
Auto17.4
Teleop40.1
End8.1
Second
2359
#12
25.30.5
23.422.9
Auto7.4
Teleop9.0
End8.8
blue by 3.9
2457
#22
29.10.4
25.225.6
Auto7.0
Teleop13.3
End8.9
Third
3172
#35
17.00.6
18.317.7
Auto5.6
Teleop8.3
End3.1
blue by 5.1
1775
#23
22.10.4
21.922.4
Auto5.4
Teleop11.3
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed71%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
58%Activation oddsEarned88%Activation oddsEarned